Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

898
FXUS61 KBGM 191818
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
218 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

There is a slight increase in PoPs and QPF amounts Friday into
Friday evening. A quick 1 to 2 inches of snow is expected over far
northern Oneida County late Friday morning, before it changes to
rain. Saturday is trending dry and seasonable, with decreasing
clouds in the afternoon. Sunday is trending warmer, with rain
arriving and spreading north to south through the day. The rain
looks to mix with or change to snow Sunday night as a sharp cold
front pushes through.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Other than a few possible flurries or sprinkles this evening in
Central New York, our next round of areawide rain will drop across
the area late Friday morning through the early evening hours with a
passing low pressure system.

2) Seasonably mild, dry weather expected Saturday. Then the next low
pressure system passes over or just south of the area Sunday into
Monday with a period of steady rain, potentially changing to some
snow or snow showers.

3)Below average temperatures return for the early to middle portion
of next week, along with a chance of snow showers at times.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

The thicker overcast will be moving east out of the area heading
into this evening. However a weak wave could bring a few sprinkles
or snow flurries into portions of Central NY early this evening. It
will be partly cloudy overnight and seasonably cool with lows in the
20s (except low 30s Wyoming Valley). The next fast moving low drops
southeast across the area on Friday. Rain will develop across the
Finger Lakes, Syracuse area and Mohawk Valley by mid to late
morning, with a brief period of snow expected over northern Oneida
County (quick 1-2 inches for Boonville/Woodgate area). It will be a
cold rain at first, with temperatures in the 30s Friday morning; if
any light precip breaks out early enough there cold be some very
localized pockets of brief freezing rain (mainly Steuben County
area). The rain then drop south and east heading into Friday
afternoon, overspreading the rest of CNY and NE PA...and continuing
into the early evening hours. Rainfall amounts will be between 1/3
to 1 inch across Central NY, with a 1/4 to 1/2 inch in NE PA. Also
expect some breezy south winds between 10-20 mph, with gusts up to
around 30 mph Friday afternoon. High temperatures will range from
the upper 40s to 50s for much of the region. The rain will exit the
area, off to the east shortly after sunset, with a return to dry and
mostly cloudy weather during the overnight period. Low temperatures
will dip down into the upper 20s to 30s over the region.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Weak high pressure under a northwest flow settles into the area for
Saturday. Morning clouds should giveway to partly sunny conditions
in the afternoon. Generally light northwest winds are expected
between 6-15 mph, along with seasonably mild temperatures in the mid
40s to lower 50s (except mid-50s in the Wyoming Valley). After a
quiet evening a warm front approaches and begins to move through the
area Saturday night with some light rain or snow possible. A low
pressure center is then forecast to track along Interstate 80 from
near Chicago east into Pennsylvania Sunday afternoon and Sunday
night. An area of steady precipitation is progged to break out along
and north of the warm front, most likely across Central and northern
NY. Current model guidance is trending a bit further north with the
warm front, allowing temperatures to potentially surge well into the
50s and even low 60s across the Twin Tiers and Northeast PA before
the rain begins. There does however remain some uncertainty on the
exact track of the low, frontal position and therefore temperatures
and precipitation types...especially heading into Sunday evening and
Sunday night. Most model guidance is in agreement that as the low
slides east, a fairly potent cold front will bring in subfreezing
air from north to south over our region. There remains uncertainty
on when the rain would potentially change over to snow or snow
showers Sunday night...and how much QPF would be left once the
changeover occurs. A much colder air mass continues to build
over the area into Monday, with 850mb temperatures falling to
around or just below -10C...there will likely be some lingering
scattered snow showers or flurries through the day and gusty NW
winds.

KEY MESSAGE 3...

High pressure builds over the area for Tuesday, with a colder than
average air mass remaining in place. The next front looks to
potentially move through Tuesday night into Wednesday with a chance
for more snow showers. This feature will keep temperatures at or
slightly below average for Wednesday as it appears to  be a glancing
shot of cold Canadian air behind it.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Some light precipitation can be expected at RME and SYR through
the afternoon, with a TEMPO for potential MVFR restrictions.
Otherwise, VFR elsewhere, with some gusts until sunset.

Outlook:

Friday through Saturday...A chance for additional rain/snow
showers as a clipper moves through the region; low confidence on
timing.

Sunday...Restrictions possible as another front pushes through
the area from the NW.

Monday through Tuesday...High pressure building in across the
Northeast with VFR conditions expected aside from the potential
for morning fog.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MJM
AVIATION...KL